Avalanche Forecast

Good - -1

Thursday will remain cloudy with precipitation starting back up in the afternoon and throughout the evening. Freezing levels will generally drop to around 900m. There may be short periods of dryer weather, and dropping freezing levels. Cooler, dryer weather is expected for Friday. Don't let this fool you, a "Pineapple Express" is headed towards the region bringing warmer temperatures, moderate-heavy precipitation, and strong south westerly winds. The brunt of this storm is likely to hit the region Saturday night.

Observations are extremely limited at this time. There have been no recent avalanche reports from the region. I suspect a large natural avalanche cycle has occurred. Is it happening right now? If you have any input, or observations please email us at forecaster@avalanche.ca. A high danger rating does mean that natural and human triggering are likely.

In upper elevations an average up to 60cm of new snow has fallen in the southern part of the region creating storm slab instabilities. This has been accompanied by moderate to strong winds from the southwest which are responsible for forming new wind slabs in the alpine and at treeline below ridgelines and terrain features. At treeline I suspect there to be some patchy areas of buried surface hoar and older raincrusts buried lower in the snowpack potentially up to a meter deep. With very limited observations from the field I suspect these layers (if existing) will reach their threshold and become reactive. I sense these layers will either clean themselves out, or start a healing process as the warmer temperatures persist. Snowpack depths are likely in the 60-90cm range at about 1600m and up to 150cms at 2000m. This may be a good time to sit out the storms and let the snowpack settle.