Avalanche Forecast

High - on Thursday

THURSDAY: Increasing cloud with light flurries in the evening, light to moderate west wind, alpine high temperatures around -10 C.FRIDAY: Trace to 5 cm of new snow by the morning then clearing throughout the day, light northwest wind, freezing level climbing to 1000 m with alpine high temperatures around -6 C.SATURDAY: Moderate snowfall with 10-20 cm throughout the day, strong southwest wind, freezing level up to 900 m with alpine high temperatures around -6 C.

The new snow produced a few small isolated size 1 avalanches on Wednesday. No new avalanches were reported on Tuesday.Some larger wind slabs were reactive to skier triggers on the weekend, including a size 2 avalanche on a north-facing slope near Whistler on Saturday (see MIN report here).Several large cornices have collapsed over the past week. One resulted in a fatal accident in the Callaghan area on Saturday. A snowmobiler was parked 7-10 m back from the edge of a corniced ridge when a large chuck broke off and took the rider down the slope. See here for a full report. A similar incident occurred nearby the same day, but the person only suffered minor injuries. A collapsing cornice also triggered a large slab (size 3) on a north-facing slope west of Pemberton on the weekend. Fragile cornices continue to be a concern in the region.

10-20 cm of new snow sits above a variety of old surfaces, including scoured crusty surfaces on south-facing alpine slopes, old wind slabs on a range of aspects at high elevations, and a melt-freeze crust up to about 1900 m. On average, 180 cm of settled snow now sits on the mid-January crust which generally shows signs of bonding to the overlying snow; however, it has the potential to wake up with a large trigger such as a cornice fall. Below this, the snowpack is thought to be generally strong and well-settled.