Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, with a few flurries possible. Freezing level at valley floor. Light to moderate westerly winds.SUNDAY: Cloudy with flurries. Freezing level near 800 m. Moderate south-westerly winds.MONDAY: Mainly sunny. Freezing level near 600 m. Moderate westerly winds. More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

There have been no avalanches reported over the last couple of days, however observations of some very large slabs were made in the North Elk valley. These are thought to have failed within the last week. Whumpfing was reported at treeline in the North Elk valley as well.It is still possible to trigger a surprisingly large wind slab or persistent slab with the weight of a person or sled, especially from a convexity or thin snowpack area. If the sun is shining, avoid exposure to steep solar aspects where loose wet avalanche activity is possible.

You are likely to find variable surfaces in open terrain after recent strong winds took out their fury on the upper snowpack. Fragile cornices and hard and soft wind slabs can be found on many alpine and treeline slopes. Ongoing strong winds are expected to keep building wind slabs, which overlie a spotty crust/surface hoar interface. The lower snowpack is weak with two primary concerns:1) A widespread weak layer from mid-December composed of facets, crusts, and surface hoar that is 100-150 cm deep.2) A rain crust with sugary facets buried in late-November near the bottom of the snowpack.Although the snowpack structure is variable across the region, these persistent weak layers are generally widespread.