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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 17th, 2016–Dec 18th, 2016
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Cariboos.

Cranking winds and new snow will likely build fresh storm and wind slabs that may be touchy to rider triggers.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

A series of Pacific frontal systems will hit the Interior region starting tonight and continue through next week. Each system will be a bit stronger bringing moderate to heavy snow amounts and strong winds. Sunday: Cloudy, alpine temperatures -14 with West winds 40-55 km/h. New snow 10-20 cm.Monday: Snow 15-25 cm with alpine temperatures near -12 and ridgetop winds West 50-70 km/h.Tuesday: A trace of new snow with alpine temperatures -11 and ridgetop winds West 30-45 km/h.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche reports from Friday. With forecast strong winds and storm snow, fresh storm slabs may be triggered by light loads (skiers, sledders).

Snowpack Summary

Continued cold temperatures have left us with a variety of snow surfaces including  facets at all elevations and some surface hoar in sheltered locations. Wind slabs exist in lee terrain at treeline and in the alpine. The mid-November crust is buried down 100-180 cm and produces variable results in snowpack tests. Moderate results may be more likely in shallower snowpack areas, and deeper snowpack areas may be more likely to show no results on this layer. Professionals continue to monitor the crust for facet (sugary snow crystals) development that may provide a weak layer above a hard sliding surface in the future.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New storm slabs will be building through the day. Watch for conditions that change with aspect and elevation, especially on wind loaded slopes and terrain features.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Pick conservative lines and watch for clues of instability, especially with new snow/ wind loading.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2