Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 17th, 2016 4:16PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

Cranking winds and new snow will likely build fresh storm and wind slabs that may be touchy to rider triggers.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

A series of Pacific frontal systems will hit the Interior region starting tonight and continue through next week. Each system will be a bit stronger bringing moderate to heavy snow amounts and strong winds. Sunday: Cloudy, alpine temperatures -14 with West winds 40-55 km/h. New snow 10-20 cm.Monday: Snow 15-25 cm with alpine temperatures near -12 and ridgetop winds West 50-70 km/h.Tuesday: A trace of new snow with alpine temperatures -11 and ridgetop winds West 30-45 km/h.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche reports from Friday. With forecast strong winds and storm snow, fresh storm slabs may be triggered by light loads (skiers, sledders).

Snowpack Summary

Continued cold temperatures have left us with a variety of snow surfaces including  facets at all elevations and some surface hoar in sheltered locations. Wind slabs exist in lee terrain at treeline and in the alpine. The mid-November crust is buried down 100-180 cm and produces variable results in snowpack tests. Moderate results may be more likely in shallower snowpack areas, and deeper snowpack areas may be more likely to show no results on this layer. Professionals continue to monitor the crust for facet (sugary snow crystals) development that may provide a weak layer above a hard sliding surface in the future.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
New storm slabs will be building through the day. Watch for conditions that change with aspect and elevation, especially on wind loaded slopes and terrain features.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Pick conservative lines and watch for clues of instability, especially with new snow/ wind loading.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 18th, 2016 2:00PM