New Zealand · New Zealand Avalanche Advisory · part of New Zealand
Avalanche danger
Forecast issued 13 hours ago · valid to Aug 29
Published by New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
We are at the tail end of the largest storm of the winter. Heavy snow has fallen with gale force winds from nearly all directions. Rain and snow are again forecast for today.
The avalanche hazard remains high with widespread reactive wind slab potentially producing large avalanches. Temperatures have fluctuated widely during the storm and reactive storm slab is anticipated in areas sheltered from the winds. Rain at lower and mid elevations has created a wet snow hazard and if temperatures remain warm this will become increasingly reactive.
Avoid travel in avalanche terrain.
Over 2m of snow has fallen at higher elevations. Winds up to severe gale force have been observed from nearly all directions, most recently from the north. Expect reactive wind slabs at mid to high elevations particularly towards the main divide. With the volume of snow fallen these slabs could produce large avalanches running full path.
Over 2m of snow has fallen at higher elevations. Temperatures have fluctuated wildly during the storm. In sheltered areas reactive storm slab will exist. Be aware that this problem will exist across the terrain not just at ridgetop start zones.
Significant rain has fallen up to 1900m. Rain at these lower and mid elevations has created a loose wet snow hazard and if temperatures remain warm this will become increasingly reactive.
Weather has prevented any observations in the region for several days now. There have been no reports of fresh avalanche activity in the region but the current storm cycle will have produced widespread natural wind slab and wet snow avalanches. Reports from adjacent regions indicate large, wide spread natural avalanches have occurred.
If you see any recent avalanche occurrences or have any relevant snowpack information or photos, you can share them via the Public Observations link on the NZAA home page.
Fresh snow fall potentially over 2m has fallen in the region at higher elevations, amounts taper down at lower elevations with rain falling below 1900m-1600m as temperatures fluctuate. These temperature fluctuations have been large and coupled with winds from around the clock will see wide variations in the structure and depth of the storm snow. This storm snow has fallen on a variety of bed surfaces - facets, wind pressed and wind stripped - poor cohesion is likely.
Previously above 1900m: A mix of faceted surface snow and wind pressed snow existed on south aspects. This snow has largely bonded well to the old snow surface and the upper and mid pack are generally showing settled characteristics as total snow depths have increased. With continued cold temperatures some near surface faceting had been observed. With the very strong winds experienced throughout the winter there is a high degree of spatial variability in the distribution of snow and there are still areas of unusually shallow snowpack at all elevations. The lower part of the snowpack appears consolidated and unreactive. Large cornices have also formed above 1800m.
Below 1900m rain last week had saturated the snow pack creating a very stout supportive rain crust. With cold morning temperatures there was a very slick snow surface. With continued cold temperatures and a shallow snow pack some facet development had been observed.
Today 28 Aug
Heavy rain, with snow lowering to 1200 metres in the morning, easing to showers in the afternoon.
Wind at 1000 metres: Northwesterly 50 km/h.
Wind at 2000 metres: Gale northerly 70 km/h, changing gale westerly 70 km/h around midday.
Wind at 3000 metres: Gale northerly 80 km/h, rising to severe gale 95 km/h for a time in the morning, then changing gale westerly 80 km/h around midday.
Freezing level: 2200 metres, lowering to 1600 metres before dawn, then to 1200 metres in the evening.
With severe gale force winds stripping snow at altitude and rain having fallen to 1800m there may be areas of slick frozen snow surface which with cold temperatures would present a sliding hazard. Take care. An ice axe and crampons could be necessary.
Moderate
New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)
