Avalanche

Iron/Goat Divide

DavisSawtooth & Western Smoky Mtns
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Observation photo 1Observation photo 2

Quick report

An intense storm tonight through Friday morning will cause numerous avalanches as storm snow piles atop a weak snow surface. These have the potential to run fast and far on a crust 6-12" beneath the surface. Although less likely, much larger avalanches may break on weak snow ~3' deep.

No obvious signs of instability.

Weather

Cloud Cover
overcast
Wind Loading
light
Recent Snowfall
<1 cm during tour
Snow Avail For Transport
moderate amounts

High, thin clouds allowed diffuse sunshine most of the morning. It was cloudier to our north. The cloud deck thickened in the afternoon. Snow began around 2 PM with very light accumulation. We experienced some moderate wind gusts at our location and observed some light wind loading in the higher surrounding peaks.

Snowpack

See photos for specifics.

Surfaces:
We observed some weak wafer crusts on S-ESE aspects with some near-surface facets beneath. Shadier slopes were mostly near surface facets. The worst looking surfaces were at low elevations where only 15-20 cm of recent snow has heavily faceted under recent inversions. This very weak snow sits on a stout (2/1) crust. We did not find any surface hoar. 

(2/1): As mentioned above, this interface will be very sensitive where recent snowfall was less than 20 cm, particularly at low elevations. Climbing in elevation, the slab above 2/1 thickened to about 30 cm. The bond on the top of the crust looked strong. Below the crust was a more faceted layer that may come into play with tonight's loading. ECTNs that broke directly under the shovel. 

(1/6): Was 4F->1F and looked fairly strong. ECTXs that withstood numerous additional hits and topples into the pit. On the ESE slope, this layer was heavily disrupted by 2/1 meltwater.

(11/30): This was the worst-looking weak layer in both pits (F+ on NE and 4F on ESE) but was 120-140 cm deep in both locations.  

Avalanche

No new/recent avalanches.