Bollettino valanghe

Soldier & Wood River Valley Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
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Pericolo valanghe

Sun
Alta quota
3 · Marcato
Limite del bosco
3 · Marcato
Sotto il limite
2 · Moderato
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In sintesi

Dangerous avalanche conditions exist. Triggering 1-3 foot thick avalanches is likely today. Avalanches will be easy to trigger in terrain affected by the wind, but are possible in sheltered terrain as well. Avalanches can be triggered from a distance above, below, and to the sides of steeper slopes. 

Problemi valanghivi

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alta quota
    • Limite del bosco
    • Sotto il limite del bosco
    Probabilità
    Likely
    Dimensione
    1–2

    Triggering a large wind slab avalanche is likely. Most wind slabs are building on top of persistent weak layers in the snowpack (read Problem #2 below). Because of this, the wind slabs you encounter today may behave more like persistent slabs than "simple" wind slabs. Fresh slabs will be reactive to your weight and may produce avalanches that break wider and deeper than you might expect. Triggering these avalanches remotely (from a distance above, below, or to the sides of steeper slopes) is a real possibility. Today's storm will supply some ammunition for the wind to build fresh slabs from and your likelihood of triggering slides will increase as the storm progresses. 

    Yesterday, professionals reported triggering large avalanches and seeing large natural avalanches in the Soldier Mountains (photo at right/above). These slides failed in wind-loaded terrain and very likely involved one of the layers of weak snow described below. On Friday, skiers in Indian Creek remotely triggered a large avalanche from 100' away (report, photo above/right). On Wednesday, several natural and triggered avalanches occurred on  Della Mtn near Hailey (report). Multiple large avalanches buried Warm Springs Rd with large amounts of debris (photo). All of these avalanches occurred on wind-loaded slopes.

    The wind slabs you encounter today will be largest and thickest at upper elevations, but you'll also find wind-affected snow in exposed lower and middle elevation terrain. The foothills around Fairfield and the steep slopes at the mouths of drainages that feed the Big Wood River are common locations to find these lower elevation slides. Evidence of wind-loading may be subtle, or may have been masked by additional snow that fell after slabs formed. Be on the lookout for wind slabs near ridgelines and on the sides of mid-slope features like gullies and ribs. If the snow you are moving through becomes deeper or denser you are likely traveling on a wind slab. Cracks shooting out from your skis or sled and collapsing of the snowpack are both clear indications you've found an unstable slab. Wind slabs that fail can be effective triggers for the deeper weak layers described below.

    (3/3/2023) This large natural avalanche was observed on Peak 2 in the Soldier Mountains.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta quota
    • Limite del bosco
    • Sotto il limite del bosco
    Probabilità
    Possible
    Dimensione
    1.5–2

    Layers of weak snow in the upper snowpack can produce 1-3' thick slab avalanches. Expect to find weak, sugary facets on shaded slopes and crust+facet sandwiches on slopes that face the sun. You're most likely to trigger a slide involving these layers in areas where the wind has built a slab on top. However, enough snow has fallen here that avalanches failing in terrain sheltered from the wind are a very real possibility.

    Variable weather in early February produced a set of variable weak layers. The nature of these layers changes from slope to slope, it's safe to assume that they exist on most all slopes. Persistent weak layers produce avalanches that fail in unpredictable ways. They can break significantly wider and deeper than you might expect, producing much larger avalanches. Avalanches failing on persistent weak layers can be triggered from gentle terrain above, below, or to the sides of steep slopes, a process known as remote triggering.

    You can reduce your risk by avoiding slopes steeper than about 35 degrees—especially large avalanche paths and those with ugly consequences if you are caught in a slide. 

    (3/1/2023) This large avalanche released above the E Fork of the Big Wood on a NW aspect at 8,600'. The slab initiated in wind-loaded terrain and appears to have failed on a weak layer buried by snowfall since Sunday (2/26).

Avalanche Discussion

Avalanche conditions have become progressively more dangerous each day this week. This concerning trend continues today. The past two weeks have been stormy across our region, with snowfall occurring most days. Though none of these storms have been massive, the cumulative weight of the snow is really starting to add up (see snowfall graph here). This zone has tallied around 1.5-2.5" of SWE (snow water equivalent) over this time period, which has settled out to a 1.5-2+ foot thick slab. Unfortunately, this snow has fallen on a variety of weak layers that are now buried 2-3 feet deep in the snowpack. 

We received 12 observations from both public and professional observers yesterday. Every single one of these included reports of either triggering avalanches, observing fresh avalanches, cracking and collapsing in the snowpack, or all of the above. A rider in the Baker Creek drainage reported remotely triggering 6 avalanches yesterday. Yes, 6 avalanches, you can see photos and read the observation here. The largest broke 2-3 feet deep and an estimated 1,000+ feet wide. Clearly the snowpack is not dealing well with the added weight of the new snow, and things are only going to get worse today as another storm moves in. 

The snowpack may be complex and ugly, but the message today is clear: avalanche conditions are dangerous and triggering large avalanches is likely. I'm dealing with the dangerous conditions by taking a few big steps back from the terrain I was comfortable in a week ago. Skiing and riding conditions are excellent in low-angle terrain right now, today is a great day to keep things mellow and wait for avalanche conditions to get safer. You'll be rewarded in two ways: expect to get plenty of snow in your face as you are making turns and to be able to head home safely to your family and friends to share stories about the powder tonight. It doesn't get better than that.

You can catch up on what happened this past week in Ethan's latest Weekend Update.

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