A weak freeze is forecast overnight and clear skies are forecast for Saturday. The snowpack will deteriorate quickly on Saturday, especially on Solar aspects so early starts and early finishes are key. Pay close attention to temperature and aspect.
Problemi valanghivi
Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta quota
Limite del bosco
Sotto il limite del bosco
Probabilità
Possible - Likely
Dimensione
1–4
Along ridgelines , ridgecrests and in gullied terrain expect to encounter these problems
Loose Wet
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta quota
Limite del bosco
Sotto il limite del bosco
Probabilità
Very Likely
Dimensione
1–3
Steeper terrain at treeline on all aspects and up to ridgelines on solar aspects.
Deep Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta quota
Limite del bosco
Sotto il limite del bosco
Probabilità
Possible - Likely
Dimensione
3–6
This deep instability can become a problem with increased amounts of sun and or rain. Have in your mind the "what ifs" of a large avalanche.
Confidence
Fair
Weather Forecast
Mix of sun and cloud with isolated convective flurries throughout the day on Saturday. Winds are expected to increase overnight and begin to push into the strong range out of the SW. Freezing levels again forecast to be around 2100m. The cloud cover will minimize any overnight freeze so watch for stability to deteriorate earlier in the day on Saturday,
Avalanche Summary
Lots of loose wet pinwheeling was observed as well as 2 recent size 2 slabs at ridgelines in steep rocky terrain.
Snowpack Summary
A few cms of new snow overnight adds to the previous 20cm snow that has fallen over the past week. On any aspects but true north this new snow has been fast to settle but on polar aspects in Alpine areas, there is still a very wintery snowpack. The freezing level on Friday was at 2100m and below this the snow was wet and moist to ground. Winds have been suprisingly calm but there was evidence of a windslab being formed at immediate ridgelines in the Alpine. The basal facets are waking up with the warm temperatures of late and we are starting to see some larger avalanche or at least the potential for larger avalanches to occur.