The persistent slab problem is best managed with patience and conservative terrain choices. Read more in the new forecaster blog here.
Problemi valanghivi
Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta quota
Limite del bosco
Sotto il limite del bosco
Probabilità
Possible
Dimensione
1–2
Watch for wind slabs in open and lee terrain.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alta quota
Limite del bosco
Sotto il limite del bosco
Probabilità
Unlikely - Possible
Dimensione
2–3
The likelihood of persistent slab avalanches is gradually decreasing, but triggering a widespread weak layer buried 50-100 cm beneath the surface has major consequences. This problem will likely linger through the holidays.
Confidence
High - Due to the number and quality of field observations.
Weather Forecast
SUNDAY NIGHT: Isolated flurries with localized accumulations of 2-5 cm, light wind from the southwest, alpine temperatures drop to -8°c. MONDAY: Mostly cloudy with a few sunny breaks, light wind, alpine high temperatures around -8°c. TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light wind, alpine high temperatures around -10°c. WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy, light wind, alpine high temperatures around -10°c.
Avalanche Summary
Preliminary reports from Sunday indicate the most recent 20 cm of new snow was reactive to skiers on steep and convex features. No significant avalanche activity was reported on Saturday, as natural and human triggered activity has started to tapered off. However, as recent as Friday, large (size 2-3) persistent slab avalanches were occurring naturally. There have also been a few notable persistent slab avalanches remotely triggered from skiers on adjacent slopes. Most recently, a few large (size 2-2.5) avalanches on north-facing slopes at treeline elevations were remotely triggered by skiers in the Selkirks on Wednesday.
Snowpack Summary
Recent wind from the southwest has formed wind slabs in the alpine and around treeline. A week of stormy weather has deposited 50-100 cm of snow above a weak layer of facets (sugary snow), surface hoar (feathery crystals), and a sun crust (on south aspects) that formed during the dry spell in early December. This layer has been responsible for large persistent slab avalanches over the past week, particularly on northeast facing slopes above 1900 m and on south-facing slopes in the alpine. The potential exists for smaller avalanches to step down and trigger this layer, resulting in very large avalanches. Another weak layer from mid-November is now buried up to 120 cm, but has been less active recently. At the base of the snowpack is a crust that formed in late October.