Bollettino valanghe

Soldier & Wood River Valley Mtns

Sawtooth Avalanche Center
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Pericolo valanghe

Tue
Alta quota
3 · Marcato
Limite del bosco
3 · Marcato
Sotto il limite
3 · Marcato
Non aggiornato — questo bollettino è scaduto 6 years ago. Stai vedendo condizioni passate, non il bollettino in corso.

In sintesi

Dangerous avalanche conditions exist. You are likely to trigger an avalanche today on most steep slopes. Avalanches may be triggered both in areas where the wind has built drifts and in areas sheltered from the wind. Due to the nature of the weak snow in our area, you don't need to be on a steep slope to trigger a slide. Avalanches can be triggered remotely—from below, above, and to the sides of steeper terrain.

Problemi valanghivi

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alta quota
    • Limite del bosco
    • Sotto il limite del bosco
    Probabilità
    Likely
    Dimensione
    1–2

    Strong winds blowing throughout the storm last week, easily building thick drifts in upper elevation terrain. While these slabs are hazardous in their own right, they are also adding stress to the weak snow described above. Any wind slab you trigger has a good chance of triggering a slide on one of those layers of weak snow.

    ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION:Today will be warmer than yesterday, with a good chance for extended periods of sunshine. This combination may produce another round of natural loose snow avalanches within the recent storm snow. As these sluffs run downhill, they could trigger larger (and much more dangerous) avalanches on the weak layers described above.

    (1/30/2021) Avalanches on E-NE aspects in the Deer Ck drainage. Note the interesting patterns of wind loading

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta quota
    • Limite del bosco
    • Sotto il limite del bosco
    Probabilità
    Likely
    Dimensione
    2–3

    A widespread natural avalanche cycle occurred during the prolonged storm last week. Large natural avalanches failed throughout this zone. I was just north of this zone in Baker Creek yesterday and I observed avalanches on most steep slopes that I turned my eyes to. I could see into the headwaters of the Warm Springs drainage and was able to pick out numerous very large avalanches that failed during the storm. I also felt the snowpack collapse numerous times, particularly in areas that had been affected by the wind. Further north, in the Beaver Creek drainage, a rider remotely triggered an avalanche that broke up to 3' deep and was large enough to snap a large, dead tree as it descended.

    To simplify, there are two main weak interfaces in the snowpack:

    1. Weak snow buried underneath the recent storm snow. The character of this layer varies by aspect (the direction a slope faces). On slopes that face the sun, a crust with some weak facets exists (culprit weak layer in the slide pictured at right/above). Other slopes are holding weak snow without a crust underneath and still others are harboring feathery crystals of surface hoar here.
    2. Weak snow buried near the base of the snowpack. This is the layer that, up until this past week, had been responsible for almost all of the avalanches. We've observed over 400 avalanches on this weak layer this year. It produced numerous avalanches during the storm and will continue to do so. It is now buried 3-4' down in this zone and any avalanche that fails on this layer is likely to be unsurvivable.

    If this all sounds complex and dangerous then I am doing a good job of describing what you will encounter today in the backcountry. Persistent weak layers are challenging problems to deal with, particularly when they are irregularly distributed. They fail in ways that surprise even seasoned backcountry travelers. The pattern of these weak layers is complex, but the bottom line is simple: if you choose to enter avalanche terrain today, there is certain to be weak snow underneath your feet and you are likely to trigger an avalanche on that snow. 

    (1/30/2021) Persistent slab avalanche near Triple Peaks in the Lake Ck drainage, 8100' NW. Note how this slide over ran the recent ski tracks (appeared to be from during the storm).

Avalanche Discussion

STABILITY AND COMPLEXITY

We have spent a significant amount of time and energy this season looking at and talking about the weak snow near the base of our snowpack. Before this storm our snowpack was weak and unstable, but relatively simple: weak snow near the ground with a variably thick slab on top. Ugly, but simple. However, in a matter of just a few days, our snowpack has gone from being relatively simple to being pretty complex. I know, just when you thought it couldn't get any worse out there. Ugly and complex, nobody's favorite combination.

It will take time to sort out which of the new weak layers in the snowpack are most unstable and how long they might be sticking around for. Some of the new weak layers may heal themselves over the course of days while others may be hanging with us for much longer. It takes time for us (and for you) to determine this, and even with days of fieldwork, there is a lot of uncertainty around these things. As we work to resolve some of this uncertainty we will be traveling cautiously and conservatively in the mountains. Alert to the terrain that we are in and the terrain that we are exposed to from above. I strongly urge you to do the same, it is a complex world out there.

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