Persistent Slabs
- Alta quota
- Limite del bosco
- Sotto il limite del bosco
- Probabilità
- Possible
- Dimensione
- 3
Our PWL (persistent weak layer) of facets from the December drought is generally buried 2-5' deep and is easy to find by digging down with your shovel on west to north to southeast facing slopes. It is becoming more difficult to trigger this unstable combination in deeper snowpack areas, particularly in the upper Cottonwoods. Full avalanche mitigation efforts to open previously closed ski area terrain yesterday in upper LCC produced no results. Tests and observations like this one in White Pine of LCC on northwest facing terrain hint at a stabilizing snowpack.
So what to make of the Davis Gulch avalanche? There are some similarities to the remotely triggered avalanche in East Bowl of Silver Fork from Wednesday the 24th. The predominant northwesterly winds have stripped and eroded many northwest facing slopes, making the slab thinner, the facets probably weaker and therefore more susceptible to triggering. My best guess is that the skier caught and carried (mind you, she was the third skier), found a thinner spot on the slab that triggered the avalanche where it then propagated into much more wind loaded terrain. The photo above shows this well. It was a close call.
Bottom Line: it takes a LOT of homework - knowing slope history, knowing wind patterns, knowing which drainages have poor vs good structure, doing lots of probing and digging of snowpits and sharing of information to be able to ride steep terrain. And even then you may not get away with it. Human triggered avalanches are possible? No thanks.