Persistent Slabs
- Alta quota
- Limite del bosco
- Sotto il limite del bosco
- Probabilità
- Likely
- Dimensione
- 2–3
The calendar says April, but we're still dealing with a mid-winter-style Persistent Slab problem (watch this video). This problem is by far the most likely way to "find trouble" today. We have two distinct problems to consider:
- "Fresh" Slabs: Sunday, a SAC forecaster remotely triggered a large avalanche in this zone (Banner Summit video), and an observer heard 2 natural avalanches release near Copper Mtn. You could trigger 1-2 foot thick slides on middle and upper elevation slopes. Avalanches are most likely on slopes approaching or over about 35 degrees where crust + facet combinations or small facets exist in the upper 2 feet of the snowpack. Watch for snowpack cracking or collapsing, clear signs the snowpack is unstable.
- Thicker, Older Slabs: While not likely, the possibility of triggering a massive 3-6 foot thick avalanche remains on the table. These hard slabs also rest on weak facets and crust + facet combinations. The most recent triggered avalanche involving this snow occurred Friday in the Frenchman Ck drainage near Smiley Creek when riders remotely triggered a slide that broke 4-5 feet deep and 800+ feet wide (photo at right/above). The riders were at least 500 feet away on the ridgeline above when they triggered the slide. Triggering an avalanche involving this deeper weak layer is less likely than the thinner "fresh slabs", but the consequences would be devastating. Don't expect to see signs of instability associated with these thick, dense slabs.
The multiple persistent slab problems are challenging to manage. You may or may not see obvious signs of instability on unstable slopes, depending on the depth of the weak layer. You may be able to trigger slides from long distances away. Slides could break wider than you expect. Tracks on a slope are not a great indicator of stability. Unfortunately, the best management strategy is avoidance; staying off of slopes steeper than about 35 degrees will reduce your risk, but it won't eliminate it.
ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION: You may encounter wind slabs in exposed upper elevation terrain. Any wind slabs that you encounter may be perched above weak facets and/or crusts, making avalanches easier to trigger and wider than you'd expect. Look for wind slabs near ridgelines and beneath cornices. Surface textures like dunes, ripples, or pillows are clues that the wind has been at work. Cracks shooting out from your skis or machine are clear indicators that you've found an unstable slab.
Cornices are unusually large this year. Give these unpredictable beasts plenty of space by traveling far from the edge, staying where you can easily feel dirt or rocks below your skis or sled. Large, falling cornice chunks and/or relatively small wind slabs moving downhill could trigger the larger, more dangerous Persistent Slab avalanches discussed above.
(3/31/2023)
Crown of a very large avalanche that was remotely triggered by riders from at least 500 feet away on the ridgeline above. It broke 4-5 feet deep and 800+feet wide. This slope faces W at 9,300' in the Frencman's drainage near Smiley Creek. You can clearly see the two sets of persistent weak layers in our snowpack in this photo.