Bollettino valanghe

Chugach State Park

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
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Pericolo valanghe

Sat
Alta quota
3 · Marcato
Limite del bosco
3 · Marcato
Sotto il limite
3 · Marcato
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In sintesi

A short but intense storm will impact the area today. Heavy snowfall and strong winds will make large natural avalanches failing 1 to 2' deep in new and windblown snow likely, and we may see larger avalanches failing deeper in the snowpack. Avalanche danger will rise quickly as snow accumulates, and avalanche terrain should be approached with caution.

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SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENTS:

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for heavy snowfall and strong winds in the Chugach State Park zone. This advisory is in effect until 6 am Saturday.

We’re excited to announce the annual Turnagain Pass Avalanche Awareness Day on Saturday, March 14! We will be up in the Turnagain Pass motorized lot from noon until 4 pm, along with AMDS, Anchorage Yamaha and Polaris, Anchorage Nordic Ski Patrol, Alaska Search and Rescue Dogs, and the Alaska Avalanche School. Stop by to demo a snowmachine, run through some avalanche rescue drills, or just grab a free burger or hot dog and chat with CNFAC forecasters about current avalanche conditions.

Problemi valanghivi

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alta quota
    • Limite del bosco
    • Sotto il limite del bosco
    Probabilità
    Very Likely
    Dimensione
    1–2

    After several weeks of high pressure, we are finally going to see a significant storm today. The snow is just starting to fall this morning, and we could see 6 to 8" in the Chugach State Park zone by tonight. Winds began ramping up yesterday, and we will likely see speeds averaging 40 to 50 mph through today. 

    This storm will be burying a mix of crusts and facets, neither of which is expected to bond well to the new snow. Natural avalanches will be likely, and these could be up to 1 to 2' deep as the snow begins to pile up and the wind continues to increase. It's looking like we are finally getting the reset we have been looking for, and it will take some restraint to approach avalanche terrain with a cautious mindset as the snowpack adjusts. 

    (3/6/2026)

    Predicted snowfall totals from 3 am Friday through 3 am Saturday. Graphic courtesy of NWS Anchorage.

    Photo: NWS-Anchorage

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alta quota
    • Limite del bosco
    • Sotto il limite del bosco
    Probabilità
    Likely
    Dimensione
    1.5–2.5

    This storm will be the biggest loading event the snowpack has experienced in over a month. It will add stress to multiple buried weak layers, increasing the likelihood of larger natural avalanches. This includes mulitple layers of faceted snow buried 1 to 2' deep in the middle of the snowpack, as well as a weak layer of depth hoar buried at the base of the snowpack, capable of producing avlanaches 2 to 4' deep or deeper.

    The deeper weak layers are more concerning in the Chugach State Park zone than any of our other forecast zones. We have been tracking this poor structure through the February drought, and today's storm will begin to push buried weak layers to their breaking point. A smaller avalanche failing within new and windblown snow could step down and trigger something much larger failing on one of these deeper weak layers. Avalanche danger will likely rise to HIGH overnight as we experience peak precipitation intensity.

    This type of problem is difficult to assess and will remain a challenge after the storm passes. With the intense precipitation rates expected today and tonight, we are avoiding traveling on or below any avalanche terrain. 

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