Persistent Slabs
- Alta quota
- Limite del bosco
- Sotto il limite del bosco
- Probabilità
- Likely
- Dimensione
- 2–3
We have a dangerous snowpack setup. Recent snowfall is stressing a weak snowpack, especially below 3500', where a faceted rain crust exists. We are in a precarious position, as we have not yet received enough new snow to trigger natural avalanches; however, human-triggered avalanches are likely 1-3 feet deep. Yesterday, field observations found shooting cracks, collapsing , sensitive stability tests, and one of our group triggered a D2 avalanche. Their observation is linked here.
We have two distinct persistent weak layers that are separated by elevation. The first is the 12/1 rain crust that goes up to 3000'-3500'. This is the most concerning layer currently and is primed for human triggered avalanches in specific terrain. The second is weak snow (December facets) that exists beneath rock hard wind slabs above 3000'. This layer is less likely to trigger currently, but would have higher consequences and should be on our radar as we receive more snow later in the week.
The most likely area to trigger a persistent slab today will be slopes below 3500' that are open and free of vegetation and steeper than 30°. The majority of areas where the 12/1 crust exists still have thick brush. This brush acts as anchors and breaks up the slab making wide slab propagation more difficult to occur. Watch for signs of instability, such as shooting cracks and collapsing and keep to mellow terrain when they exist.
(1/3/2026)
Facets on the underside of the 12/1 rain crust
Photo: Gareth Brown