Persistent Slabs
- Alta quota
- Limite del bosco
- Sotto il limite del bosco
- Probabilità
- Likely
- Dimensione
- 4
My partner and I traveled into mid elevation terrain yesterday and we were stoked to see how the snowpack has grown in depth and how well it's becoming comfortable in its own skin.
For an avalanche forecaster, watching the snowpack develop is like watching your child grow. Fortunately, I think we're starting to get out of the teenage years where you just look at the snowpack and it gets riled, but I still think there's enough uncertainty to warrant continued caution before handing over the keys to the car and turning our backs. JG's large slide just two days ago illustrates the setup.
While snow stability tests and overall snowpack depths are encouraging, the consequences of triggering a large slab avalanche breaking on persistent weak layers near the ground remains severe.
The good news is... the Uinta snowpack has gotten a lot deeper after last weekend's series of storms. The bad news is... recent snowfall made the slab much thicker and more dangerous. In places where the slab is thickest, avalanches are harder to trigger because it is harder to impact weak snow near the ground. However, thin spots, like around rocks or bushes, are often good trigger points and all we need to do is collapse the slope, trigger the slide, and now the entire seasons snowpack is crashing down on us.
The photo below shows weak snow near the ground, and how a snowmobile can stay on top of the snowpack. However, there are a lot of different ways for a sled or a skier to impact the weak layer. Because the snowpack is not the same depth across a slope, it's easy to hit a thin spot and trigger an avalanche. Tracks on a slope DO NOT mean it is stable.
Ted Scroggin is a savvy, avy pro and knows the Uinta Mountains better than anyone. He offered this sage advice... "To me, these are tricky conditions, there were some natural avalanches, some slopes have filled back in, and things look and feel good to go. Normally this time of year we are starting to venture out more on bigger slopes, but the current snowpack is still not to be trusted even though conditions feel great under our sleds and skis."