Persistent Slabs
- Alta quota
- Limite del bosco
- Sotto il limite del bosco
- Probabilità
- Possible
- Dimensione
- 2–3
Warm temperatures and intense sunshine are causing significant settling in the upper portion of the snowpack. As we move into a period of climbing temperatures we focus our attention on our buried persistent weak layers. There are two broad categories:
- Weak layers that formed at the end of January and during the month of February are now buried 1-3' deep. These layers have produced avalanches across most of our forecast area in the past two weeks (Dollarhide, Galena Summit, Smiley Creek, Beaver Creek, Sawtooths, Banner Summit). The pattern of activity outlined by these avalanches points to these layers being most unstable on slopes that face the sun, where they are accompanied by crusts. Watch this video I took yesterday that shows how these layers looked near the crest of the Smoky Mountains (10 miles north of Dollarhide).
- A pile of large-grained, weak snow (depth hoar) exists near the ground in this zone. You are more likely to trigger slides on the weak layers higher up in the snowpack, but any slide triggered on this deeply buried weak snow is likely to be unsurvivable.
If I were to go out and try to make an avalanche today I'd be looking in steep, rocky terrain where the snowpack is thinner and where it is being heated by the sun. As days pass without loading, the likelihood of triggering an avalanche on these weak layers is gradually decreasing. However, the possibility of triggering a slide here will be on the table for some time to come. If you choose to enter avalanche terrain, be alert that at least one of these weak layers almost certainly exists in the snowpack underneath you. Even as the danger decreases we still advise cautious and conservative terrain selection. Be alert to the consequence of being caught in a large avalanche in the terrain you are recreating in.
ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION:Today's warm temperatures and bright sunshine are a perfect combination for loose snow avalanches. These sluffs can be dangerous on their own and may trigger larger slab avalanches as they travel downhill. Scott observed this exact combination yesterday in the Boulder Mountains (observation here, photo here). The heat is also affecting the large cornices that have formed throughout the season. These beasts sag during the heat of the day, eventually tumbling off the ridges they are attached to. This makes for a "great" trigger for the persistent weak layers described above.
The top 3' of the snowpack contains a number of weak layers that have formed over the past month.