Persistent Slabs
- Alta quota
- Limite del bosco
- Sotto il limite del bosco
- Probabilità
- Very Likely
- Dimensione
- 3
Steady winds from the past 24 hours and today's new snow (loading) will increase the likelihood of triggering a deep and dangerous slab avalanche today. This problem is most pronounced on steep slopes facing west to north to southeast at the mid and upper elevations. I am going with a HIGH avalanche danger based simply on the Travel Advice: Very dangerous avalanche conditions, and traveling in avalanche terrain is NOT recommended.
We are primarily dealing with not one but two weak layers that are causing avalanches: a layer of facets and perhaps surface hoar buried Jan 22nd....and the old rotten facets and depth hoar in the basement. Both of these layers roared to life over the weekend, and the avalanche cycle - both natural and human triggered - was nothing short of impressive.
Signs of instability (cracking/collapsing) might not be present today, and you might even see tracks on the slope. In no way does this mean it's safe. All someone has to do is hit the right spot; the slope collapses, shatters like pane of glass; you look left, you look right with nowhere to run. The avalanche you just triggered will likely be 2'-5' + deep and hundreds of feet wide, and likely unsurvivable. The best thing we can do is avoid the avalanche altogether by sticking to slopes under 30° degrees.
AVALANCHE TREND: INCREASING