The potential to trigger lingering small to large wind slabs exists at the upper elevations where the hazard rating remains Moderate. Remember that Low hazard does not mean no hazard exists and isolated pockets of slab could also be found at the mid or the upper portions of the low elevations. Pay attention to sunlight and warming today and monitor their affects on the strength of the upper portion of the snowpack.
Skiers and riders venturing onto very steep, wind loaded slopes above 9000 feet may be able to trigger wind slabs that formed last week with depths of one to two feet. Rising temperatures and direct sunlight will increase the sensitivity of these slabs today and also provide the possibility of cornice failure, which could also cause one of these slabs to initiate.
An approaching system from the northwest will combine with a system from the south tonight, causing rapidly increasing cloud cover. Snow will start to fall after midnight with just an inch or two of accumulation expected by sunrise. By tomorrow evening three to five inches of snow is expected in the Salt, Wyoming and Teton ranges, with two to three inches expected in the Togwotee Pass area. Temperatures in the mountains are expected to stay in the teens tomorrow. Winds are to be southwesterly overnight, veering to the north by Wednesday afternoon. Wind speeds could have averages in the twenties and gust into the forties or higher tomorrow. The General avalanche hazard will be Moderate in higher terrain and Low in lower terrain in all the forecast areas. In the Teton area, the slight chance of triggering wind slabs remains a possibility. In the Togwotee Pass area, where the snowpack is wrought with weak snow, deep persistent slabs could still be triggered by a single person, causing large to very avalanches. The Southwest Trails area has a potential for either of these avalanche problem types, wind slabs or deep slabs, although avalanches involving the deep weakness are not as probable as in the Togwotee Pass zone. In all areas, depending on snowfall amounts and wind speeds, new shallow wind slabs could form and be sensitive, particularly in areas where wind loading occurs on hard, slick crusts.
