Persistent Slabs
- Alta quota
- Limite del bosco
- Sotto il limite del bosco
- Probabilità
- Possible
- Dimensione
- 2
The Christmas Eve rain crust is creating a tricky, low probability but high consequence scenario, and crust thickness remains the most critical variable.
Our biggest concern is on slopes above 9500 feet, where less rain fell and the crust is thinner and less supportable. While we don’t have an exact pattern for where those thin crust areas exist, recent avalanche activity offers clues. It’s a good idea to build in a margin and avoid terrain similar to the Hidden Canyon and Sunset Peak avalanches: steep, rocky, and wind-exposed slopes. On most mid-elevation terrain, the crust is several inches thick, making triggering unlikely, but not impossible.
As we move into a more active pattern and add new load from snow, water, and wind, the likelihood of triggering this layer could increase again. Use this time to step back, watch how the interface responds, and re-evaluate terrain choices.
On December 30th, Dave Kelly visited the Sunset Peak avalanche. His observations are a bullseye for understanding this setup right now. The Sunset Peak bed surface is a sober reminder of what’s at stake, where a thin veil of snow masks the rock grinder you’d be dragged through.