Up to 30cm of snow on Thursday with warming temperatures and strong Southwest winds. Expect natural avalanche activity to increase in size and frequency throughout the day and to continue into the weekend.
Problèmes avalancheux
Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpin
Limite forestière
Sous la limite forestière
Probabilité
Possible - Likely
Taille
1–3
Strong SW winds building windslab with recent storm snow and expected to bond poorly.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpin
Limite forestière
Sous la limite forestière
Probabilité
Possible
Taille
2–4
The Jan 17 interface or deeper layers might be woken up with the forecasted heavy snowfall and would result in large avalanches.
Loose Dry
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpin
Limite forestière
Sous la limite forestière
Probabilité
Likely
Taille
1–2
Forecasted storm snow (~30cm) will fall over a poorly bonded, weak snow pack. Small sluffs have potential to entrain a lot of mass and grow in size quickly.
Weather Forecast
Snow arrives Thursday morning and forecasted to be 25-30cm by Thursday night! Temps will rise with the incoming snow with an Alpine high of -5 with the winds also increasing, Strong from the SW. Snow tappers off by Friday morning with temps dropping back to - 12 with moderate SW winds.
Snowpack Summary
Moderate to strong SW winds are building windslab at treeline and above. A buried surface hoar and facet interface is down 10-15 cm which will be one of the layers of concern with the incoming storm. The mid-pack is facetted and weak, with depth hoar at its base.
Avalanche Summary
A highway patrol revealed a 48-72hr old natural avalanche cycle up to Sz 3. Most occurring below ridgeline, cross loaded gullies or within steep rocky terrain on NE to W aspects in the Alpine.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Thursday