Bulletin d’avalanche

Olympics

Northwest Avalanche Center
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Danger d’avalanche

Sat
Alpin
3 · Marqué
Limite forestière
3 · Marqué
Sous la limite
2 · Modéré
Périmé — ce bulletin a expiré 4 years ago. Vous consultez des conditions passées, pas le bulletin en cours.

Points saillants

Wet snow avalanches will likely lead to dangerous avalanche conditions in the Olympics on Friday.  Avoid steep open slopes near and above treeline capable of producing large avalanches.  We have increased uncertainity about the snowpack in the Hurricane Ridge area, so you'll need to travel cautiously from the onset and make your own observations. 

Problèmes avalancheux

  • Wet Slabs

    • Alpin
    • Limite forestière
    • Sous la limite forestière
    Probabilité
    Likely
    Taille
    1–2

    With another inch of rain expected through Friday, wet snow avalanches need to be on your mind.  Especially at higher elevations, continued rain will work its way further down into a previously dry snowpack, increasing the possibility of large and powerful wet slab avalanches.  We've already seen a cycle of glide avalanches (wet snow avalanches that run to ground) and while this AR event may not be as wet or prolonged as what we saw around the Christmas period, you'll want to avoid traveling in or below steep slopes with smooth underlying bed surfaces, like the 20th of June path for example. 

    Wet slab and glide avalanches are notoriously unpredictable, with changes happening out of sight in the snowpack over time.  They typically cannot be directly correlated to the most intense part of a storm cycle.   Generally avoid stepping out onto steep open slopes near and above treeline capable of producing large avalanches.  Let the storm play out and allow the wet weak upper snowpack to stabilize over the next few days as temperatures drop.  

    Human and natural wet loose avalanches will also be possible on Friday.  You may see evidence of a natural wet loose cycle from earlier in the storm as temperatures rose and snow changed to rain.  The travel advice is simple; if you see natural wet loose avalanches or find yourself sinking into wet surface snow of more than a few inches, avoid steep slopes.  Small wet loose avalanches may gouge down to older weaker wet snow, becoming larger and more powerful.  Use extra care near terrain traps like cliffs, rocks, and other hazards that would amplify the consequences of a small avalanche. 

    (12/26/2022)

    Just a few weeks ago the 20th of June slide path avalanched to the ground.  This glide avalanche occurred during the prolonged mild and rainy period preceding the 26th of Dec.   

    Photo: Sam siemens-luthy

Avalanche Discussion

We don't have any fresh snowpack observations, so there's the extra onus on backcountry travelers to make their own observations and factor in the increased uncertainty when approaching avalanche terrain on Friday.  

After a snowy start to the week with the Hurricane Ridge snow depth increasing about 15" since last weekend, we've trended the wrong direction for folks who like winter and snow. It's been a wet, mild and windy end to the week as an atmospheric river pummels the Olympics, especially the southern portion of the range.   Hurricane Ridge picked about an inch of water, most of it rain through 5 pm Thursday with strong S-SW winds.  We estimate the snow level is above all but the highest peaks, in the 6500-7500' from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning before a slow cooling trend takes place.  

We'll get a clearer picture on Friday but look for evidence of wet snow avalanches, big and small and in all elevation bands and aspects that occurred in the last 24 hrs.  If you're out in the snow (or slush), share your observations with us and your local backcountry community.

2022-2023 Forecast Schedule

NWAC will issue an avalanche forecast every Friday, Saturday and Sunday and every holiday mid-week day the Hurricane Ridge Road is open from December-early April.  We will issue Avalanche Watches or Warnings when conditions warrant.  New for this season, we will not update the non-holiday midweek discussion.  Our mountain weather forecasts will continue to cover the Olympics and are issued twice a day through late April.  If you have questions or feedback, please contact us at [email protected] and [email protected]

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