Persistent Slabs
- Alpin
- Limite forestière
- Sous la limite forestière
- Probabilité
- Likely
- Taille
- 3
The most dangerous problem you will encounter out there is the possibility of a deep and dangerous avalanche failing on a buried persistent weak layer. You are most likely to encounter this on steep slopes near and above tree line that face NW-N-NE-E with the highest likelihood on N-NE-E aspects. The recent snow didn't appear to contain enough water weight to tip the scales but wind loading may do it. This is exactly what happened in the case of the large, snowmobile triggered avalanche in Dark Canyon on January 9.
If you've been following along by now you know we have a very poor snowpack structure where the pack is faceted entirely through. The Dark Canyon avalanche failed on facets beneath the Christmas Rain Crust (CRC), and we now have a new faceted layer to be concerned with immediately beneath the recent snow (see recent observations from myself, Chris Benson, and Travis Nauman). This layer is a bit tricky in that it hasn't formed everywhere. The last stretch of high pressure also saw a lot of wind from the northwest so many snow surfaces were crusted or blasted into hard wind board. This new faceted layer only formed in areas protected from the northwest winds. Slopes near tree line with an easterly component to their aspect are the most suspect. An avalanche failing on this layer could step down below the CRC and take out the entire season's snowpack.