Loose Wet
- Alpin
- Limite forestière
- Sous la limite forestière
- Probabilité
- Possible
- Taille
- 1–2
Yesterday, we saw several small, natural wet avalanches in the Smoky Mtns. Another day of warm air temperatures and plenty of direct sunshine will keep natural and human triggered wet snow avalanches on today's menu. These slides are most likely on slopes with many or all of the following characteristics:
- Very steep
- More than a few inches of recent snowfall
- Sheltered from the wind
- Shallow snowpack less than about 2 feet deep
- Directly facing the sun
- Rocky terrain
There are a few different types of wet issues to be on the lookout for—I'll give you the cliff notes here, but you should read the Forecast Discussion section below for a more detailed rundown. Wet avalanche activity involving the new snow will start on slopes that face E-SE and work its way around through S-SW-W as the sun tracks across the sky. Pay attention to the snow you are traveling in. Note how the snow surface is changing. If it's easy to make snowballs, the wet loose problem could be rearing its head.
On lower and middle elevation slopes, as air temperatures climb the snowpack will gradually weaken on all aspects of the compass. While this will be most intense on slopes that directly face the sun, shaded lower elevation slopes may also be melting today. If you are falling through crusts into slushy snow underneath, the chance of wet loose avalanches is increasing. Whether you're in shady or sunny terrain, slides will start out small and fan out as they travel downslope and pick up more snow (point-releases). The likelihood of both natural and human triggered slides will increase throughout the day. You can greatly reduce your risk by sticking to colder snow on more shaded slopes or by traveling earlier in the day when the snow surfaces are firm.
ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION:Since Sunday, skiers triggered small slab avalanches in 3 of our 4 zones. These slabs have had some time to bond, and triggering a large avalanche involving one of these slabs is unlikely. However, even small wind slabs can have high consequences in very steep and rocky terrain. Look for cracks shooting from your skis or board as an indication that you've found a sensitive wind slab.