Bulletin d’avalanche

East Slopes Central

Northwest Avalanche Center
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Danger d’avalanche

Sat
Alpin
3 · Marqué
Limite forestière
3 · Marqué
Sous la limite
2 · Modéré
Périmé — ce bulletin a expiré 3 years ago. Vous consultez des conditions passées, pas le bulletin en cours.

Points saillants

The most obvious concern should be triggering avalanches in freshly wind-drifted snow. But these smaller avalanches could step down to deeper layers, become very large, and break widely across terrain features. Stick to low-angle slopes in simple terrain to avoid triggering a dangerous avalanche. You should also prepare for bitterly cold temperatures on Friday.

Problèmes avalancheux

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpin
    • Limite forestière
    • Sous la limite forestière
    Probabilité
    Likely
    Taille
    2–2.5

    Thursday brought more snow than anticipated to the East Central zone, accompanied by strong winds. The new low-density snow drifted into sensitive wind slabs on lee aspects where you could trigger an avalanche. Identify wind-loaded features with visual clues like drifts around rocks or trees, cornice formations, and textured surfaces. Avoid steep slopes where you find these stiff, wind-drifted slabs. You may also be able to trigger storm slab avalanches on steep, sheltered slopes. With 2-3ft of recent snow, these avalanches could easily be large enough to bury, injure, or kill a person. However, more concerning is that these avalanches could step down to more deeply buried weak layers, become very large, and propagate across terrain features. 

    Look for signs of instability, such as collapsing, cracks that shoot away from you, and recent avalanches. These are all indications that you are likely to trigger an avalanche. At lower elevations with a thinner snowpack, avalanches might be smaller, but they would carry high consequences if you are dragged through terrain still riddled with rocks, stumps, creeks, and other terrain traps.

    (12/30/2022)

    Example of long shooting cracks in a fresh wind slab. These long cracks are bullseye information of unstable snow.

    Photo: Rob Pollard

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpin
    • Limite forestière
    • Sous la limite forestière
    Probabilité
    Possible
    Taille
    2–3

    You could trigger a very large persistent slab avalanche on various layers now buried 2-4 feet deep. These avalanches can propagate widely around terrain features, and you may be able to trigger them from adjacent lower-angle slopes. The best way to manage this avalanche problem is simply to avoid steep open terrain and slopes connected to steep terrain above. Instead, seek out low-angle, simple terrain. Before this storm, there were close calls with avalanches on these persistent weak layers. Now, these same layers are buried much deeper and continue to produce avalanches. 

    On Wednesday, Mission Ridge Ski Patrol triggered multiple avalanches that failed on weak, faceted snow over the Solstice Crust, and a backcountry traveler near Lake Wenatchee remotely triggered a small avalanche on a steep convexity on this same layer. Buried surface hoar (1/2) was responsible for two other human-triggered avalanches before this storm. We have yet to hear about more recent avalanches on this surface hoar layer, but it could still be an issue. With both layers potentially lurking below the surface, extra caution and wide safety margins in your travel plans are warranted. 

    (1/10/2024)

    Backcountry travelers near Lake Wenatchee remotely triggered this avalanche from a low angle adjacent slope. This avalanche ran on weak, facted snow over the Solstice Crust.

    Photo: Pat Riffie

Avalanche Discussion

Brrrr...be prepared for temperatures near and below 0F on Friday. Cold injuries can happen quickly, so bring extra layers, hand warmers, face masks, and make sure those grip heaters are working.  The sun should make an appearance tomorrow, and while it will likely be too cold for wet loose avalanches, you could see some sun-triggered dry loose avalanches in steep terrain.

Over 3ft of snow has fallen in most areas of East Central this week, with around 1.5ft in the easternmost portion of the zone. I got out into the Salmon La Sac area on Wednesday to take stock of the new landscape after these impressive storm totals. At 4600ft, I found around 70cm of new snow with a thin melt-freeze crust from a brief warmup midstorm buried 45cm down. This new melt-freeze crust showed potential for propagation in a snowpack test. Weak snow beneath the Solstice Crust also showed propagation in these test results. Southern and western aspects warmed in the sun and formed a thin melt-freeze crust, now buried by an additional 6-8 inches of snow that fell with strong winds on Thursday.

Lower elevations have significantly better coverage after this week's storm, but the coverage is still below average. These elevations may not quite meet the threshold for large avalanches. However, you could still trigger a smaller avalanche with serious consequences from hitting exposed hazards like rocks, stumps, or downed trees. 

If you get out, let us know what you see by submitting a public observation!

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