Bulletin d’avalanche

Northwest Coastal

Feb 7 – 8, 2016Avalanche Canada
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Archivé · expiré 11 years ago

Danger d’avalanche

Tue
Wed
Alpin
4 · Fort
Limite forestière
4 · Fort
Sous la limite
3 · Marqué
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Points saillants

Rain and rising freezing levels over the next few days will weaken the snowpack and increase the Avalanche Danger.

Problèmes avalancheux

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpin
    • Limite forestière
    • Sous la limite forestière
    Probabilité
    Possible
    Taille
    2–6
    Loading from new snow and rain will increase the likelihood of waking up destructive persistent weak layers at all elevation bands.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpin
    • Limite forestière
    • Sous la limite forestière
    Probabilité
    Likely - Very Likely
    Taille
    1–4
    Ongoing storm accumulations will likely remain sensitive to human triggering on Monday. Watch for increased reactivity in high elevation lee terrain.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpin
    • Limite forestière
    • Sous la limite forestière
    Probabilité
    Possible - Likely
    Taille
    1–3
    Continued rain forecast for Monday will promote loose wet avalanche activity in steep lower elevation terrain. Destructive wet slab avalanches are also possible.

Confidence

Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

On Monday, expect 10-15mm of precipitation with freezing levels climbing from 1600m to 1900m throughout the day. On Tuesday the region will see a mix of sun and cloud with freezing levels shooting to 2800m. Light snowfall is forecast for Wednesday. Ridgetop winds are forecast to remain strong from the southwest for the entire forecast period.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday explosives control in the Stewart and Ningunsaw areas produced deep persistent and storm slab avalanches in the size 2.5-3 range. While most avalanches observed failed within recent storm layers, a few failed on basal facets in shallow snowpack parts of the region. There was also a recent size 3 natural persistent slab avalanche north of Stewart. This avalanche failed on the January 9th surface hoar.Closer to Terrace, a few recent storm slab avalanches to size 3 were observed between 1200 and 1700m. A skier also triggered a size 1.5 wind slab avalanche on a southwest aspect at 1450m. The skier was not injured.I'm sure there was a decent round of storm slab activity on Sunday in response to new snow and wind.

Snowpack Summary

On Monday continued warm, wet and windy conditions will add mass to recently formed storm slabs. Freezing levels are expected to rise dramatically leaving surfaces at treeline and below saturated by the afternoon. Recent storm accumulations may be especially touchy as they are sitting on a new surface hoar layer that was buried on February 3rd. The January 9th surface hoar/facet layer is down 70-150 cm in most places, and remains a concern, especially with heavy and/or thin-spot triggers. Around the same depth you may also find a surface hoar/facet interface from around New Years. There continues to be a lot of uncertainty regarding the reactivity and distribution of this destructive persistent avalanche problem; however, forecast rain and warm temperatures will increase the likelihood of triggering these layers where they still exist. A conservative approach to mountain travel is still required.

Régions couvertes