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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 30th, 2016–Jan 31st, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Strong winds have kept the recent storm snow primed for human triggering. The storm has passed but considerable avalanche hazard remains.

Weather Forecast

Mainly cloudy today with isolated flurries. Winds SW 20-35 km/h, alpine temperature -8.0 and freezing levels rising to 800m. No significant precipitation is expected for the next several days as a high pressure ridge builds throughout the weekend. Temperatures will continue to drop as arctic air moves into the region.

Snowpack Summary

50cm of recent storm snow is settling into a cohesive slab. Overnight strong S winds created heavily loaded pockets on lee aspects and wind slabs in exposed areas. The Jan 4 weak layer, down 60-100cm was rapidly loaded and will be touchy in areas where it has not yet failed.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity decreased yesterday following a widespread natural avalanche cycle on Thursday. Ongoing strong winds may contribute to another Natural avalanche cycle today.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.