Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Regions
Northwest Coastal.
This time of year observations are limited, so make sure to supplement this forecast with your own observations. If you've been out please post your observations to the Mountain Information Network MIN.
Confidence
Low - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
Overnight MONDAY: Scattered showers or wet flurries / Alpine temperature 0 / Moderate to strong south wind / Freezing level 1300mTUESDAY: Wet flurries or showers, accumulation up to 5cm possible in the alpine / Alpine temperature 2 / Moderate southwest wind / Freezing level 1500 m.WEDNESDAY: Isolated flurries or showers / Alpine temperature -1 / Light to moderate south wind / Freezing level 1100 m.THURSDAY: Flurries or showers / Alpine temperature -2 / Light to moderate west wind / Freezing level 1000 m.
Avalanche Summary
A Mountain Information Network post from the Shames area on Monday indicates loose wet avalanches to size 1 running in steep terrain on all aspects. If you have been out, please submit any observations to the Mountain Information Network MIN.
Snowpack Summary
Expect to see moist or wet surface snow with warm temperatures into the alpine continuing on Tuesday. There is an average of 60-110 cm of snow in the alpine. This decreases dramatically with elevation below tree line where the primary hazards are rocks, stumps, and open creeks. We currently have very limited snowpack observations, so it is critical to supplement this information with your own observations.In most places other than the highest accessible alpine areas the snowpack is possibly moist throughout. Some reports indicate there may be an early season crust near the bottom of the snowpack.
Problems
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.