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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 14th, 2018–Nov 15th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Watch for an increasing avalanche danger over the next 48hrs as the latest Pacific storm front hits.  A plethora of early season hazards await the unwary.

Weather Forecast

A pulse of Pacific moisture will unload on Glacier Park over the next 2 days bringing upwards of 30cm of storm snow by Thursday evening. Moderate to strong SW winds will accompany the storm. Freezing levels are forecast to be in the 1400-1500m level.

Snowpack Summary

10cm of storm snow now buries a surface hoar layer above 1900m in the Connaught drainage. Snow depths vary from 40cm at Rogers Pass, to 130-150cm in alpine areas. Sheltered areas at and above TL have unconsolidated snow. Expect patches of windslab along lee features. A melt-freeze crust can be found in the bottom 50cm of the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches recorded or reported in the last 24hrs.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.