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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 7th, 2018–Apr 8th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

Strong winds have formed widespread wind slabs at upper elevations.  Just how reactive these slabs are however, is a bit unknown. Be cautious in lee areas, start with small, low consequence features before working your way into bigger terrain.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Ridge wind light to moderate, southeast. Alpine temperature near -1. Freezing level 1200 m.SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Ridge wind light, northwest. Alpine temperature near 0. Freezing level 1500 m. MONDAY: Cloudy, flurries. Accumulation 2-8 cm. Ridge wind moderate to strong, south. Alpine temperature near -2. Freezing level 1500 m.TUESDAY: Cloudy, flurries. Accumulation 6-12 cm. Ridge wind strong to extreme, south. Alpine temperature near -1. Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

There have been no reports of avalanche activity since Thursday when northern parts of the region saw a widespread natural avalanche cycle triggered by strong to extreme wind loading event in the alpine. There was also a report of an icefall triggered size 2.5 slab avalanche that failed on the mid-March interface, northwest of Meziadin Lake.Wednesday a natural avalanche cycle up to size 1.5 was reported on wind affected features, as well as skier triggered storm snow releases up to size 1. A natural cornice failure that released a size 1.5 slab was also reported from an east aspect in the Shames area. Read MIN report here.On Tuesday, there was a size 2 natural wind slab avalanche reported from a north aspect alpine slope. There were also several small (size 1), thin soft slab avalanches on recently wind-loaded features. A large (size 3) glide avalanche was reported from a N-NW slope below treeline. Additionally, steep south aspect slopes released loose wet avalanches in the afternoon.

Snowpack Summary

Strong to extreme winds have created widespread wind affect in the alpine and at treeline. At lower elevations up to 10-20 cm of snow sits on a solid crust.In the south of the region, 70 to 100 cm of recent storm snow overlies two layers of surface hoar. The layers are most prominent on north to east aspects and were buried early-March and mid-March. In the north of the region, these layers are around 40 cm deep.Bellow this interface the mid-pack is generally well-settled and strong. However, shallower parts of the region, such as the far north, have weak sugary facets near the bottom of the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.