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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 19th, 2013–Apr 20th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Saturday

Weather Forecast

Light snowfall is forecast for Saturday with greater amounts possible in the Coquihalla/ Allison Pass areas. Moderate west winds are expected with freezing levels at about 1800m. On Sunday and Monday the region should see generally clear skies, light north winds and freezing levels at about 1500m.

Avalanche Summary

In recent days, numerous rider triggered and isolated remote/sympathetic events have been reported in high (2300-2700m) north and northeast facing slopes up to size 2.5, all associated with preserved surface hoar. Much of the reported activity on buried surface hoar seems to be occurring in the north of the region in the Duffey Lake/ Birkenhead areas, through the Hurley and up towards Bralorne/Goldbridge.

Snowpack Summary

Generally light daily snow accumulations have been observed in the last few days, and soft wind slabs likely exist on lee terrain. About 30-60 cm below the surface lies the April 5th layers. On solar aspects, the layer is a strong melt-freeze crust, with some faceting observed above and below. On Northwest to Northeast aspects above about 2300m, this interface may be preserved surface hoar (up to 15mm). Where the surface hoar is present we have reports of sudden results in stability tests and have seen rider triggered, sympathetic and remote events up to size 2.5. Professional operators express consistent concern for triggering this layer.Cornices are huge and will continue to grow with the forecasted precipitation.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.