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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2013–Mar 3rd, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Sunday: No snow expected. Sunny breaks. Light winds. Freezing level around 600 m.Monday: No snow. Sunny breaks. Light winds. Freezing level around 700 m..Tuesday: No snow. Light winds. Freezing level 0 m.

Avalanche Summary

A widespread natural cycle occurred in response to snow and wind-loading on Wednesday/Thursday, with several slabs of size 2-3, and a few in the size 3-4 range. The largest event failed as the entire snowpack on basal facets.

Snowpack Summary

About 40-70 cm recent storm snow is beginning to settle and stabilize. Recent strong, variable winds left wind slabs at treeline and alpine elevations. Direct sun may weaken the snowpack on sunny aspects over the next few days. A layer of surface hoar, facets and/or a crust is buried in the upper snowpack, but most operators report a good bond at this interface. Watch out for cornices, as they are fragile and can act as triggers for avalanches on slopes below. Mid and lower snowpack layers are generally well settled and strong. The exception seems to be northern regions, where basal facets are reported.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.