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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 21st, 2014–Jan 22nd, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: A frontal system takes a small bite out of the ridge Tuesday resulting in very limited precip for the northwest corner of the province. The ridge comes back with a vengeance Wednesday and should persist through the weekend.Wednesday: Freezing Level: Valley Bottom; Precip: Trace Wind: Mod, SWThursday: Freezing Level: 2500m; Precip: Nil; Wind: Lht, SW Strong W at ridgetop.Friday: Freezing Level: 3000m; Precip: Nil; Wind: Lht, Variable, Strong W at ridgetop.

Avalanche Summary

No new observations from Monday.  An anomalous large avalanche was observed on a SW face in the north of the region on Sunday. The deep persistent slab failed naturally resulting in a size 3 avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

The region picked up 10 - 20 cm of new snow on Monday which now hides most of the destruction caused by previously strong winds that left widespread wind loading/wind damaged snow in their wake. Previously warm temps along with a bit of rain at lower elevations has formed a variety of crusts at and below treeline. The early January surface hoar is most active in the north of the region between 900m and 1400m. It was a player during the last cycle even in low angled terrain. Look for it 70 -100 cm below the surface. Professionals continue to keep an eye on the basal facets which can be found down around two meters below the snow surface.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.