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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 18th, 2017–Mar 19th, 2017

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

Check Alberta 511 for projected opening times and date for the Icefields Parkway (93N).

Weather Forecast

Snow forecast to taper off, tracking northward from the Icefields through Jasper over the evening. The likely HST total expected to be close to 20cm as the storm breaks. Scattered flurries and moderate to strong gusty SW winds to mark the exit of the snow. Scattered flurries and broken skies fx for Sunday. Cooler expected, high of -12 alpine temps.

Snowpack Summary

+50cm HST this month redistributed with Mod SW winds. Deeply loaded (100+ cm) lee areas with unpredictable spacial variability. Buried localized solar, rain and melt-freeze crusts, up to 2000+m on S and 1600m in the N asp. New snow weakly bridging a faceted older snow pack. Morphing interfaces scattered, at depth through the midpack to ground.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous large natural avalanches (class 3) were observed from the Maligne area to the icefelds at Tree Line and above. These slab avalanches are failing at varied depths; from recent storm snow to deeper older instabilities. Warm temperatures and precipitation will keep the landscape dangerously active.

Confidence

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.