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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 12th, 2017–Mar 13th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

Safe, excellent riding conditions can be found in conservative terrain. Watch for changing conditions next few days if day time temperatures warm more than they are forecasted.

Weather Forecast

30-40km/hr SW winds around the townsite Monday, +9 and flurries. Icefields will be -3 to -6 Monday to Tuesday with potentially spiking warm temperatures on Wednesday. Flurries will continue Monday to Wednesday being possible rain on Wednesday. Winds will be steady 20-30km/hr out of SW. 

Snowpack Summary

Light to Moderate southerly winds transporting and pressing recent snow into a slab in open areas at TL and above. This sits on a persistently weak interface 20 to 45cm down. A weak but slowly improving mid-pack is just supportive enough for travel below treeline. Basal layer of weak facets, depth hoar, and an ice crust from November.

Avalanche Summary

Sunday's Maligne patrol observed no new avalanches. Saturday's Icefield's patrol observed no new avalanches but it was poor visibility. March 11 report from skiers of a remotely triggering from a treeline location 300m into the alpine two size 2.5's 1.5m thick and 35m wide. They ran to bottom of the path.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.