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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 3rd, 2016–Mar 4th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

The Jan 6th interface has produced a few significant avalanches in the past few days, both naturally triggered and human triggered. Carefully evaluate the snowpack before committing to a line.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Friday will be mainly cloudy with no precipitation. Alpine temperatures should reach a high of -4 °C. Ridge-top winds will be out of the southwest at 35-55 km/h. Freezing levels will reach 1700 metres. Saturday will bring flurries with light accumulations.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous naturally triggered loose dry up to size 2.0 from steep E and NE aspects in the Alpine.

Snowpack Summary

2 to 5cm of new snow in the past 24 hours. Cornice growth observed over the past 48hrs. Surface snow moist on solar aspects and on all aspects below 1900m. 15 to 30cm now overlies the Feb 27th interface and the bond at this interface is variable. Jan 6th interface found down 60 to 110cm producing sudden shears in the moderate to hard range. Several snow pits today revealed a consistent lack of basal depth hoar.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.