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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 6th, 2018–Apr 7th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

Strong to extreme winds have created wind slabs in leeward areas. Avoid freshly wind-loaded slopes and features, these may be primed for human triggering.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

TONIGHT: Flurries. Accumulation 2-4 cm. Ridge wind strong, southeast. Alpine temperature near -5. Freezing level 300 m.SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Ridge wind strong to extreme, southeast. Alpine temperature near -0. Freezing level 1200 m.SUNDAY: Cloudy, flurries. Accumulation 2-6 cm. Ridge wind moderate, southwest. Alpine temperature near 0. Freezing level 1500 m. MONDAY: Cloudy, light flurries. Accumulation up to 4 cm. Ridge wind moderate to strong, south. Alpine temperature near 0. Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Thursday there were reports from northern parts of the region of a widespread natural avalanche cycle triggered by strong to extreme wind loading event in the alpine. As well as an icefall triggered size 2.5 slab avalanche that failed on the mid-March interface, northwest of Meziadin Lake.Wednesday a natural avalanche cycle up to size 1.5 was reported on wind affected features, as well as skier triggered storm snow releases up to size 1. A natural cornice failure that released a size 1.5 slab was also reported from an east aspect in the Shames area. Read MIN report here.On Tuesday, there was a size 2 natural wind slab avalanche reported from a north aspect alpine slope. There were also several small (size 1), thin soft slab avalanches on recently wind-loaded features. A large (size 3) glide avalanche was reported from a N-NW slope below treeline. Additionally, steep south aspect slopes released loose wet avalanches in the afternoon.Last week, large persistent slab avalanches were reported on east to northeast aspects at all elevations, failing on the early-March and mid-March layers. There have been no reports of avalanches on these layers so far this week.

Snowpack Summary

Strong to extreme winds have created widespread wind affect in the alpine and at treeline. At lower elevations up to 10-20 cm of snow sits on a solid crust.In the south of the region, 70 to 100 cm of recent storm snow overlies two layers of surface hoar. The layers are most prominent on north to east aspects and were buried early-March and mid-March. In the north of the region, these layers are around 40 cm deep.Bellow this interface the mid-pack is generally well-settled and strong. However, shallower parts of the region, such as the far north, have weak sugary facets near the bottom of the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.