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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 20th, 2013–Feb 21st, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Winds were calm again on Wednesday but that will soon change as the next system begins to approach the forecast region.  Light snow and moderate westerly winds forecast for Thursday.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Light snow is forecast to fall throughout the day on Thursday as the next system begins to approach the forecast region.  Winds will begin to increase into the moderate range out of the west so we may see some additional snow transport at higher elevations. Temperatures will still be cold at -15C.

Avalanche Summary

A few small loose dry avalanches up to sz 1 out of steep unskiable terrain on northern aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Another day with limited winds.  A moderate sheer persists at the storm snow interface down 20-30cm throughout the region and a second sheer persists down 60cm beneath a previous windslab.  There was some moist snow on solar aspects later in the day on Wednesday.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.