Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Dec 27 – 28, 2015Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 11 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Conditions are variable across the Purcells. In isolated areas, the weak layer from early December may still be reactive.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2
    Soft wind slabs may be reactive to the weight of a person below ridges and ribs.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2–4
    A prominent layer of buried surface hoar can be found between 1400 m and 1800 m. A weak crust/facet/surface hoar layer is also expected to still be reactive in isolated areas at higher elevations. Smaller avalanches may step down to these layers.

Confidence

Moderate - Wind speed and direction is uncertain

Weather Forecast

A few centimetres of snow are expected on Monday, before a shift to a cool, dry spell. Expect light northerly winds and a mix of sun and cloud on Tuesday and Wednesday.For more details check out https://avalanche.ca/weather.

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, two skier accidental avalanches were reported in the Golden backcountry. The first occurred in the morning and was a size 2 wind slab avalanche which occurred on a northwest aspect at about 2400 m. It was up to 50 cm in depth and ran approximately 600 m. The second occurred in the afternoon and was a size 2.5 wind slab at ridgetop. This also occurred on a NW aspect at 2400 m elevation. This avalanche stepped down to a deeper layer lower down in the start zone, likely the early December interface. On Thursday, a large settlement was felt in a flat meadow in the Invermere backcountry. This occurred at 2200 m in a below treeline terrain feature and the failure layer is unknown. Since then, only small loose dry avalanches have been observed.

Snowpack Summary

20-30 cm of low-density snow typically overlies a well-settled mid and lower snowpack. Surface hoar and near-surface facets may be mingled with a few cm dry new snow. Wind slabs may be found on slopes lee to the SW. Between 40 and 100 cm below the surface you'll probably find a weak layer which was buried in early December. Between 1400 m and 1800 m, this layer consists primarily of large surface hoar. At higher elevations, this layer consists of a sun crust, facets, and/or small surface hoar. This layer is still reactive in some snowpack tests and has produced at least one human-triggered avalanche in the last week. The layer is creating a low probability, high consequence type of problem, especially in the north of the region. Below this layer, the snowpack is thought to be generally strong and well-settled.

Regions covered