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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2024–Jan 18th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary, Bonnington, Grohman, Kootenay Pass, Norns, Rossland, South Okanagan, Ymir, Crawford, Moyie, St. Mary, Kokanee, Retallack, Valhalla.

In steep terrain, where the new snow is deep, watch out for loose snow that starts to move with you down the slope.

Retreat to mellower terrain if you find denser snow that cracks around you.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On m

On Tuesday, southwest of Nelson, a small, rider-triggered avalanche was reported on a steep, wind loaded slope with shallow snow cover. Also, some sluffing was reported while riding in steep terrain.

If you go out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

10-15 cm of new snow (with localized hotspots of up to 30 cm) has likely covered weak, faceted now in many areas and wind-affected surfaces in open areas at all elevations.

A layer of surface hoar is found down 70 cm in sheltered, north-facing terrain. This layer appears as a sun crust on south-facing slopes. As temperatures slowly warm this layer may become reactive to human triggering. The middle of the snowpack contains a series of old melt freeze-crusts.

A thick crust deep in the snowpack largely protects any weak layers further down in the snowpack from being triggered.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy. 2-4 cm of snow expected. Light north ridgetop wind. Treeline low around -15 °C.

Thursday

Partly cloudy. No new snow expected. Light east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -15 °C.

Friday

Cloudy. 2-4 cm of snow expected with localized hotspots getting up to 10 cm. Light east ridgetop wind, switching to south through the day. Treeline temperature around -10 °C, with possible temperature inversion.

Saturday

Cloudy. 5-10 cm of snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -5 °C, with possible temperature inversion.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't be too cavalier with decision making, storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Use appropriate sluff management techniques.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.