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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 27th, 2024–Jan 28th, 2024

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Yukon, Tutshi, Wheaton, White Pass East, White Pass West.

Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended today.Heavy snow/rain, extreme wind and warm temperatures have made an unstable snowpack, with potential for widespread large avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A large (size 2) naturally-triggered avalanche was observed along the highway corridor between White Pass and Skagway on Saturday.

We suspect a widespread natural avalanche cycle is ongoing across the region.

Snowpack Summary

Around 25 cm of storm snow fell overnight Friday, and a further 10-30 cm of snow or rain is set to fall by the end of the day Sunday. With forecast strong to extreme alpine winds this new snow will form reactive storm slabs, especially on lee north and east slopes.

The field team has found a buried weak layer of surface hoar and facets 45-70 cm below the surface. While triggering this layer is unlikely, there is potential for smaller avalanches to overload this layer triggering a larger step-down avalanche.

The overall midpack is generally settled and strong, with the average snowpack depth at treeline around 160 cm.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with 10-20 cm of new snow/moderate to heavy rain, south alpine wind 70 km/h, treeline temperature -1°C, freezing levels rising to 1000 m

Sunday

Cloudy with 10-20 cm of new snow/moderate to heavy rain, south alpine wind 60 km/h, treeline temperature 0°C, freezing levels 1000 m.

Monday

Cloudy with 15-25 cm of new snow / moderate to heavy rain, southeast alpine wind 80-90 km/h, treeline temperature 1°C, freezing level 1500 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with 5-15 cm of new snow, south alpine wind 40-50 km/h, treeline temperature -4°C and freezing levels dropping back to 400 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.