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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 18th, 2025–Mar 19th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Kananaskis, Bow Valley, Highwood Pass, North 40, Spray - KLakes.

We will remain at an elevated danger rating for the foreseeable future. The upper snowpack continues to settle and strengthen, but this sits upon problematic weak layers that are not to be trusted.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

2 loose dry avalanches in the Chester area that are East facing appeared to be about 1 day old.

The North bowl between Mt. Chester and little Chester went size 2.5 as a slab in the last 2-3 days.

In Canmore on Monday, the first bowl on EEOR naturally avalanche to size 3 on a NE aspect in the alpine. This propagated across the whole bowl and ran well in to the gully out of view. Suspect the trigger was wind loading at ridge height.

Sometime Monday, Mt Buller avalanche paths also had a large Size 3 natural that propagated across the whole feature. Suspect cornice trigger, but unconfirmed.

Snowpack Summary

There is a lot going on in the snowpack but in a lot of ways it is simple. The top half of the snowpack is a 40-80cm dense slab that sits on top of 40-80cm of depth hoar and facets. This interface between the two is the January 30th interface and has produced repeatable sudden collapse test results. This is what is causing all of the bigger avalanches that have been reported. Unfortunately we will be in this pattern for the foreseeable future.

More Detail: Wind slabs exist in the alpine and if triggered, could easily step down to the January 30 layer(facets). The March 3 layer is mostly a sun crust on solar aspects and can be found down about 50cm. Conservative terrain choices that avoid being attached to a bigger piece of terrain is the way to go right now. Forecasters are sticking to low angle, well supported terrain only.

Weather Summary

Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. Alpine temperatures of -6

45km/h West wind

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain; avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Remote triggering is a big concern, be aware of the potential for wide propagations and large, destructive avalanches at all elevations.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.