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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2025–Mar 3rd, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead, Flathead, Lizard, Moyie.

Searching for dry snow after the warmup will steer you toward terrain where persistent slabs remain a concern. Keep up the conservative terrain selection on a day of snowpack reassessment.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Explosives in the Fernie area Saturday yielded persistent slabs in the size 2 - 2.5 range with crowns 100 cm deep.

We have an initial report of a natural size 3 in the Little Sand area on Friday, likely another persistent slab.

The field team saw a bunch of fresh persistent slabs in Corbin Thursday.

These avalanches fit a recent pattern of heightened persistent slab activity on a range of aspects, mainly in the alpine.

A natural size 3 deep persistent slab was also seen Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

A melt-freeze crust or moist snow likely makes up the surface on solar aspects and on all aspects below about 1700 m. This crust tops the upper part of 30 to 60 cm of snow from last week that was redistributed by variable wind in alpine. About half of this snow overlies a crust formed early in the storm. It otherwise overlies faceted snow.

A weak layer of preserved surface hoar or facets from late January is buried 80 to 130 cm deep. This weak layer was active during the warmup and remains a concern where strong surface crusts haven't formed. The lower snowpack is generally well-settled, however at least one deep persistent slab ran naturally during the warmup.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Becoming cloudy. 5 - 30 km/h northeast ridgetop wind, increasing. Freezing level falling from 3000 m to 1600 m.

Monday

Cloudy with scattered flurries bringing less than 5 cm of new snow above 1500 m, easing overnight. 20 - 30 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1600 m. Treeline temperature around -2 °C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud with cloud increasing. 5 - 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind, closer to 30 km/h in alpine, increasing. Freezing level 1700 m. Treeline temperature around -1 °C.

Wednesday

A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries and cloud decreasing. 15 - 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind, easing. Freezing level 1800 m. Treeline temperature around 0 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.