Avalanche forecast

Glacier

Jan 3 – 4, 2022
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Powder for the People!

Expect touchy avalanche conditions where slabs exist. The new snow will need some time to bond to the faceted layer it now buries.

Small sluffs in steep terrain will gather mass quickly, running fast and far.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely - Very Likely
    Size
    1–2

    20+cm of low density snow sits on a layer of faceted snow. This layer is easily triggered at the moment and dry loose avalanches, though light and fluffy, can run fast and far, gathering additional mass as it travels.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–3

    The snow is adding up and forming a storm slab over a faceted interface, which will take some time to bond. Deeper pockets of slab are found in loaded features. If triggered this layer may step down to the Dec 1 crust, resulting in a large avalanche.

Weather Forecast

Finally, the Arctic Air mass is bringing some joy to our lives as it mixes with the warmer Pacific Front, producing a pile of low density snow. Another 10cm of snow by Monday morning, 5-10cm over the day and an additional 5cm by Tuesday morning. Cloud and snow for Monday, alpine high of -10 with 20-35km/hr South winds at ridge top.

Snowpack Summary

20+cm of low density new snow buries a layer of faceted snow from the recent and continued cold temps. Wind slab exists in the alpine along ridge crests and open features down into tree line. The Dec 1 crust is buried 70-120cm, with faceted snow above and below it (especially in shallow areas).

Avalanche Summary

Several avalanches off of Mt. Tupper and Mt. MacDonald up to size 3 from wind loaded, steep, confined terrain. Widespread dry loose avalanches size 1-1.5 today (Sunday).

Expect avalanche activity to continue / increase throughout the duration of the storm.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Regions covered