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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2022–Jan 18th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

No recent natural avalanche activity and a cooling trend are a good sign of healing snowpack.The alpine is still a suspect due to the week long wind event.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: High -10 °C. Ridge wind light.

Wednesday: A mix of sun. Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: Low -13 °C, High -11 °C. Ridge wind west: 10 km/h.

Thursday: Flurries. Accumulation: 12 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -11 °C, High -6 °C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h gusting to 60 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Variable amounts of new snow across the region with up to 15 cm further south. The upper snowpack has been heavily wind affected especially in wind prone areas. The mid snowpack is faceted with a persistent weak layer buried 40-70cm down. Basal facets and depth hoar can be found at the base of snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Sunday Icefields patrol had fair visibility and no new naturals were noted. Our nearest neighbors reporting small wind slab and persistent slab results from their explosives control in the Alpine.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.