Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Dec 31, 2023 – Jan 1, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

A complex snowpack situation with multiple deep instabilities is best managed through conservative terrain selection.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    The primary layer of concern in much of the region is a layer of surface hoar down 50-70 cm. If triggered, avalanches on this layer could step down to deeper weak layers.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    A layer of weak facets near the ground may be reactive to human triggering. Especially in shallow, rocky areas in alpine terrain where the layer is not being capped by a crust.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche observations from the alpine in the past three days;

  • explosive-triggered persistent layers stepping down to the ground and up to size 2 in the Dogtooth range

  • explosive-triggered wind slabs, size 1.5 in the northwest Purcells

  • ski cut loose dry to size 1 in the upper snowpack facets near Invermere

Snowpack Summary

A generally well-settled upper snowpack sits atop a complex snowpack with several layers of note.

A layer of buried surface hoar buried 50 to 70 cm deep has been an active avalanche problem. It is less of a concern in areas where a strong, supportive crust exists above the surface hoar layer.

The lower snowpack is typically characterized by sugary, facetted crystals and a crust. Avalanches have been stepping down to this layer.

Snowpack depths at treeline average 70-120 cm with significant variability across the region.

Weather Summary

Saturday night

Mostly cloudy with trace amounts of new snow, ridgetop wind <10 km/h south, treeline temperature -6 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with trace amounts of snow, ridgetop wind <10 km/h south, treeline temperature -4 °C.

Monday

A mix of sun and cloud, ridgetop wind <10 km/h southeast, treeline temperature -5 °C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud, ridgetop wind <10 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.

Regions covered