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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 6th, 2023–Dec 7th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos, McBride, Premier, Quesnel, Clemina, Renshaw, Robson.

Approach wind loaded features with caution, a buried surface hoar layer may increase reactivity. Don't let it surprise you.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

There have been very few observations in our area. Expect avalanche activity, especially in areas where new snow has covered surface hoar.

If you head into the backcountry, please submit a MIN report to help inform our forecasting.

Snowpack Summary

Varied amounts of snow and rain, 5 to 10 cm, have fallen since Monday morning. At higher elevations winds have likely created deeper deposits in north and east-facing terrain.

A layer of surface hoar is buried around 20 cm deep, and on south facing slopes the surface hoar may sit on a sun crust.

The mid-pack is generally unconsolidated. A crust with sugary facets beneath it can be found just above the ground.

The snowpack is still shallow for this time of year. The average snowpack depth at treeline ranges from 70 to 90 cm. This MIN report show the conditions around Lucille.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy with northwest winds around 10 km/h. Freezing levels drop to valley bottom. No snowfall expected.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, westerly winds 10-15 km/h. Treeline temperatures around -10 °C as freezing levels remain at valley bottom. No snowfall expected.

Friday

Mix of sun and cloud, no snowfall expected. Westerly winds 20-40 km/h. Treeline temperatures around -10 °C as freezing levels remain at valley bottom.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with southerly winds increasing to 60 km/h. Freezing levels remain at valley bottom. Up to 5 cm of snowfall is possible.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.