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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 6th, 2021–Dec 7th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Columbia.

Avalanche danger will gradually increase in wind-affected terrain this week. 

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear skies, no precipitation, light wind from the west, treeline temperatures around -15 C.

TUESDAY: Increasing cloud throughout the day, no precipitation, light to moderate wind from the southwest, treeline temperatures warm to -10 C.

WEDNESDAY: 10-25 cm of low density snow, moderate wind from the west, treeline temperatures around -8 C.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy skies with some light flurries, light wind from the west, treeline temperatures around -10 C.

Avalanche Summary

Over the weekend there were several reports of small (size 1) avalanches in the recent snow above the crust. These included a mix of stiffer wind slabs and softer dry loose avalanches. One large (size 2) naturally-triggered wind slab was observed on a steep south-facing slope in the alpine.

There is still visible evidence of a widespread avalanche cycle from the Dec 1st atmospheric river.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 25 cm of low density snow covers a crust, which has been exposed in open terrain. At treeline and above, pockets of wind slab up to 40 cm deep are found in lee features, with fun powder in protected areas and depressions.

The snowpack is generally well-consolidated below the surface crust. The mid-November crust is found down 70-150 cm with some faceting below the crust. This feature disappears above 1900 m and does not appear to be problematic at this point.

Snowpack depths range from 120-250+ cm at treeline and above. The snowpack decreases rapidly below 1600 m.

Check out our latest Forecaster Blog here.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • Use caution when approaching steep and rocky terrian.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.