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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 16th, 2025–Jan 17th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

East Kakwa, Tumbler.

Practice good travel habits by maintaining good spacing in avalanche terrain and exercising extra caution around shallow rocky start zones.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A size 2 slab avalanche was reported from the Tom's Lake area on Sunday. Check out the MIN report here. The avalanche appears to have been a wind slab that failed on weak, faceted snow in the mid or lower snowpack. It occurred on a southwest aspect (notable!) and is a good reminder that even old wind loaded pockets in otherwise thin, rocky snowpack areas should be treated with caution.

Keep posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

Surface conditions in the region are predominantly wind-affected, some of it more recent with light snow and elevated winds through Thursday morning.

Limited soft snow may be found on the surface in more sheltered areas above 1500 m. Below this elevation and on solar aspects, recent warm temperatures and sunshine should have formed a surface crust.

The snowpack in this region is otherwise shallow with the middle and base mostly made up of weak, sugary facet crystals along with a crust at the base of the snowpack. Steep terrain where wind slabs may linger over these old, weak grains are the main avalanche concern in the region.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with easing isolated flurries. 5 - 30 km/h north ridgetop wind, easing. Freezing level to valley bottom.

Friday

Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries and less than 5 cm of new snow, including overnight amounts. 10 - 30 km/h north ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature falling to -15 °C.

Saturday

Mainly sunny. 10 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline high temperature around -13 °C.

Sunday

Mainly sunny. 5 to 30 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature falling to about -19 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rocky outcrops, and steep terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.