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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2026–Jan 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kispiox, Ningunsaw.

Increasing alpine temperatures and sunshine will make avalanche triggering possible on south aspect terrain.

Plan you day to avoid steep solar zones during daytime warming.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the fact that persistent slabs are particularly difficult to forecast.
  • Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.
  • Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Reports of avalanche activity has subsided as temperatures cooled.

On Wednesday, natural avalanches where reported, with wet avalanches at lower elevations and wind or persistent slabs to size 2.5 at higher elevations.

Past activity includes failures in recent storm snow as well as on deeper weak layers such as the early January surface hoar and the late December crust.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm totals vary from 80-150 cm throughout the region, heavily redistributed by strong southerly winds at upper elevations and has likely settled from warm temperatures.

At treeline, recent rain and warm temperatures may have affected the surface snow. As temperatures cool this warm and wet snow is forming a stout melt freeze crust. ns. Below treeline, the snowpack was wet down to the ground, becoming consolidated and forming a surface crust.

A layer of surface hoar is buried 40 to 70 cm deep in sheltered treeline features. The mid and lower snowpack is well settled with no current layers of concern. Treeline snow depths throughout the region range from 150 cm to 250 cm.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Clear skies. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 900 m.

Friday
Sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 3100 m.

Saturday
Mostly sunny. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 2900 m.

Sunday
Mostly sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 3000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering may persist as natural avalanches taper off.
  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.
  • Stay off recently wind loaded slopes until they have had a chance to stabilize.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.