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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 14th, 2023–Mar 15th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal, Kitimat, Nass, Rupert, Seven Sisters, Shames, Stewart, Howson.

New slabs may form as snow continues to accumulate, which could become touchy to human traffic.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Riders triggered many small (size 1) storm slabs on Monday within the recent 10 to 20 cm of storm snow. Otherwise, loose dry sluffing was noted in steep terrain, running fast and far.

Looking forward, the primary concern is new snow that overlies surface hoar and/or hard surfaces that formed last week. As the snow accumulates and forms slabs, they will likely become touchy to human traffic. There's uncertainty on when exactly this will happen so travelling conservatively and making observations as you travel will be key.

Snowpack Summary

Around 10 to 30 cm of snow has accumulated since Sunday. This snow overlies large (10 to 20 mm) and weak surface hoar crystals in shaded wind-sheltered terrain, wind affected snow in wind-exposed terrain, and a hard melt-freeze crust on sun-exposed slopes. The wind was predominantly from the north to east on the weekend but it is switching to the southwest, meaning wind slabs may be found on all aspects.

Another layer of surface hoar and/or weak faceted grains may be found about 40 cm, particularly on shaded aspects.

The remainder of the snowpack is generally strong.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 15 cm, 30 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -8 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 cm, 40 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -5 °C, freezing level 500 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 10 cm, 40 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -5 °C, freezing level 800 m.

Friday

Partly cloudy, 30 km/h southeast wind, treeline temperature -2 °C, freezing level 1100 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for fresh storm slabs building throughout the day.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to the presence of buried surface hoar.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.